Terrible emotional rushing out and press down

Over reaction I guessed, but provide a good timing or chance to accumulate more. The emotional traders may still there react emotionally, so let's see able to catch more at 0.70 to 0.75.

HIL - Emotional selling now

Huge drop but with small volume. Some is selling like HIL is going to close down today. Some is buying as today is "yummy" day for smart investors.

Which one you will be? For me is yummy day :p

What is value investing

The most important for me is I can sleep well and live happily.

HIL (8443) - Chairman, Tan Sri Dato' Ir. Ng Thian Hock- "The BrandLaureate Great Entrepreneur Brand Icon Leadership Award 2015"

Mr Ng, HIL should not price below 1.00, pls do something :)
HIL should be also reflected your great entrepreneur award.
source: http://www.hil.com.my/latest-news.html

Bucida tree

My favorite tree at my garden backyard. It's called bucida. I plant it myself. Beside beautifulised the environment the tree also will grow the value of the house too.

No dumping

Hardly see dumping for value stock unless the company facing systematic risk will lead to long term financial distress till the measurement to improve the distress.
Therefore, any weakness is the chance for us to buy more value stock (if cash available).

Good morning

Still have to be happy even something out of expectation. Remember value investing is to bring happy value not worry value.

Pump and dump -old way but most effective syndicate tactic

Scary for retailers but some traders still able to catch the profit and run. Some is trapped forever. Some syndicates will re-"goreng" again with "kind" heart to let the first batch trapped retailers exit and welcome 2nd or last batch retailers to trap in. Because syndicates will not re-"goreng" 3rd time, I guessed so.

WINTONI or WINSUN - pump and dump

Scary right? Pump and dump is the old way to "goreng" stock, but is still the best way and most effective way for syndicate to earn big in short time frame and vise versa for non value investing traders to burn hard earn money in short time frame too.

KOBAY - today join the selling

As it's already reach above my ideal TP 2.00, therefore join the selling group.

XOX - Pump and dump

Dare to hold? Or

Dare to catch the falling knife? Or 

Dare to average it for those buy at 0.60?

Mission Fail

Yes mission fail, Mr Market decided to reflect HIL at below my expectation price 1.00 end of this week. Respect Mr Market decision as it's always right. Also the "emotional" support is broken now and trigger TA players permanent exit.
Did I still hold it. Yes, I do. I didn't sell any as I believed HIL is hugely under the center or fair value.
Anyway, for HIL leader sheep, target not reached but you've done a good job.

Buy at support or buy at breakout of resistance

Buy HIL at support 0.90 or buy when it breakout 1.00? Which way are you? For me is 0.90.

HIL - 'crazy' cash cow stock

Q3 profit increased with lower sales mean richer sales mix (mainly from high property margin).
Cash is now 144 mil, which is 0.52 cash per share and also mean 57% of 0.90 is build up by CASH. This is hardly can find a stock with so high porpotion of cash build up.
Cash 2015 versus last year 2014 increased by 44 mil. Really a lot rite?
For sure EPS also improved, therefore with this all, is HIL able to break 1.00? Let's see tomorrow or else my expectation 1.00 end of this week will fail.

FAVCO

2014 after price hit the peak 3.8 in April then start it's journey of downtrend for about 1 year 7 months. Today is the rebound day but still in downtrend. Let's see the next few days this value stock can perform like TIENWAH amazing explosive rebound?

Why I say "emotional" support or resistance?

Because this will lead to permanent decision. If tomorrow HIL break below 0.90 "emotional" support will trigger TA based "players" exit permanently. For value investors will still stay long as long as it's still below is center value.
But TA also important (at least it will give some indicators), if HIL tomorrow break below 0.90, I can guess that the quarterly financial performance might be below expectation. Why? Because some investors already well informed than me.

Will I lock in the profit? Not yet...not yet...

HIL - now retest "emotional" support 0.90

Look not so good, but also not so bad. As expected, 1.00 is the strong "emotional" resistance, need more energy to break it. Hope 0.90 "emotional" support able to absorb more powerful energy for the 1.00 attack.

Dare to dream

Law of attraction...keep dream it

Tienwah-powerful aim the bull shoot

It take 2 years time to progress the down trend line from 2.60 to 1.60. Nevertheless, it only take few days to bounced back and break the new high 2.85. This is amazing right? I can said this is very powerful massive shooting and very powerful wave 3.
Therefore, nothing is impossible for value stock when the timing is matured.
Now, I'm waiting HIL to perform such a powerful move. Just a few days to reach my ideal price 1.40. I'm dreaming? Yes, I'm. :p dare to dream big.

Good nite my aim the bull fellowship. Hope you all have a wonderful dream.

HIL (8443) morning snapshot

The price find a support at 0.90 and strong support at 0.85 by 500'000 guy.
Mission to 1.00 reachable end of this week? I can say 50:50 chance only.

KESM-Sell on fact?

With the impressive quarterly result announcement but price reflected negatively today. This is easy to explain as the price already reflected far from it's center value (fair value),  smart investors willing to lock in their profit.
So, if the price able to stay it's long term uptrend line, most of the smart investors willing to stay long.
Of course this is always back to the value investing question "will KESM able to create next level of higher value or EPS growing?"

KIMHIN - another explosive value stock

Now the price reflection is in wave 3 move, massive public shooting now. I remembered last time (1 to 2 year before) this stock public awareness is very low and liquidity is very low, it status still in cold stock.

Now time matured, the stock turn to very explosive and backup by value.

HIL 8443 - where is 500'000 guy?

500'000 guy still at 0.85 as a support. Waiting for 0.90 bid.

INSTACO - very explosive move

Similar move as 2012. If history repeated again mean the strategy is shoot up the price then distribute it gradually downward. I guessed so, it can be different if the leader sheep able to bring up more value added to the price. Let's see how they play? For me, i just watch as risk and reward stop me to go in now. 0.12 to 0.16 is reward price entry. 

Risk and reward

For value stock the risk is minimum but reward is great especially stock still below is center value or fair value.

Once the value stock start its uptrend line move, we should stay long.

HIL still left behind the plastic industrial strong move

Not yet...but soon
Now the leader sheep job is to clear the barriers along 0.96 to 1.00.
Leader sheep, I wish next week you able to do it, I will strongly support you as I still not sell any of it.
My mission of HIL already achieved 50% before it reached 1.40. My ideal and target price.

Aim the bull face

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Tzu Chi - a school let kids understand the value

A school which educate kids with value. Unfortunately my girl still not discovered the good value but instead bring bad some wrong value. She might influenced by some of the kids there as she is kind of follower and learning from someone surrounding her.

As a 100 buck, how you press it, step it, it's  still worth 100 as this is the value. Therefore, I believed she still not yet fully absorbed the value learning and some kind of resistance and influenced by surrounding. One day she will discover the value and start reflect on it. This is just matter of time.

XOX (0165) Too good to be true

The slope is very deep now. If you climbing this hil, you will easily fall down. My opinion is now run very far from its true value 0.30, therefore is now matter of time the music game stop and you need to chase your last chair. Unless XOX can bring another new value creation plan, then the price will stay long.

Concept of best time buy and stay long

Concept is very important. If concept is correct, your detail working will be generated desired output. As a controlling manager, I always lead my team with correct concept. Costing need creativity and right concept. Once is correctly established, it will able to solve and handle any complexity.

Buy a value stock when it is still cheap and uptrend (optional if already buy in wrong timing as timing will never be just right for you), this will be the best time to buy. Like HIL when it's at 0.60, reflected a best price to buy (supported with 0.50 cash per share). Now HIL is at 0.93, still cheap and still best time to buy. Once it hit above 1.40, consider expensive but still in uptrend, stay long.

Simple concept to handle complexity of market.

Aim the bull...aim the correct bull concept...

Never give up value stock

Today is hard to go up, tomorrow will be worse, but the day after tomorrow the price will climb as high as possible.

Growing slowly better than standing still

HIL price now is growing slowly before it accelerate. 1.00 ice breaking should be tomorrow or end of next week.
Still far away from my ideal price 1.40

Kossan

Value created from next level of EPS growing, therefore it created another new high. The cycle of 3 waves will be keep repeating with new comers.

Aim the powerful bull

Normally and by conceptually powerful bull is always link with powerful value. Nevertheless be careful and be aware fake value creation. Syndicates able to create very good stock look like in future e.g. many projects in negotiations but at the end all projects died.

Below is powerful bull how its look like. Aim the bull, aim the real bull...

HIL (8443) 1.00 already? Not yet not yet...but will see you soon

The sky is about to clear for rocket launching...

The basic of the value actually is yourself

No matter how much you gain in stock market or your career or your own businesses, the fundamental always back to invest yourself. If you able to build your own value, that's mean happy and healthy at 'all time high", this will be best value creation. You will never regret fulfilling living as human in this earth once your time is count down.

HIL (8443) this week ready to aim 1.00 bull?

Yes. I feel so as other "plastic" stocks also moving all time high. For instance, Ge-shen
Get ready! Don't get surprise suddenly it move above 1.00 and then straight to 2.00 within short time frame as like Ge-Shen if aim the bull in massive public shoot.

Kobay (6071) - wave 3 full force with strong public aware

When in the wave 3, the engine mostly in the full force rocket launching and the sky is clear without any obstacle.

This is only applicable to the value stock. HIL should be the next.

Don't get surprise why it shoot up, only surprise why it never go up.

Remember this is always matter of time only for value stock price to reflect its center value (fair)

When is the best time to take profit?

Normally I will take profit when the price is in wave 3 or price already go far away from the fair value (center value)

But the 3 waves are the cycle as if the company is creating higher value, the process of wave will be repeated.

Therefore, to take or not to take need to back the value creation basic again.

Anyway, we still can play swing style invest or buy in any weakeness and sell in strength. This will be needed technical analysis for decision. Nevertheless, timing will never be just right always, sometimes i sold it based on TA, but the price rise further, then I need to chase back again. This is tired also.

As a controller manager, i will busy with daily job, therefore long term investment is important to me when you don't have much time to monitor it.

Aim the bull...if the bull still healthy...there is no reason to dis-aim or unlock.

Value stock 3 waves play

1st wave: Smart money quietly buy. It can be you also if you detected it. The price remain flat or small price movement. I've detected IFCAMSC at 0.08 before it start its amazing move. HIL at 0.40, SKPRES 0.10, KELADI, ASIAPAC and many more.

2nd wave: Institutions investors like fund manager awareness. They start buy in with big quantity. This will lead the price start move upward.

3rd wave: Public awareness, massive shooting aiming the bull leading the price move higher and higher.

Till the price run far away from its true value. The bubble will burst leading massive killing shooting.

Therefore, refer back my previous post. Price will decided 3 stage too:
1. Below center value (fair value)
2. Center value (fair value). This is what it's worth.
3. Above center value.

Value stock normally will create higher value leading higher price. If not it will either stay stagnant or start its lower price reflection to meet it's lower fair value. This is call downtrend. That's why you can see some stocks this year making good profit buy price keep going down, then next year turn to a loss making company. HIAPTEK as an example.

Aim the bull...detect value stock at 1st or 2nd wave.

WB quotes

Might not 100 % applicable but is still can use.

Smart leader sheep

A stock will only able to break new high if the leader sheep is there. They are normally intelligent, patience, high EQ, and backup with good resource like cash flow, network, personnel, media connection etc.

Kobay (6971) a quiet stock now become explosive stock

What is the reason? Simple answer is because  value stock.
Value create or reflect new price when public awareness is strong. Look like is possible the next target is 3.00.
I believed my another value stock will be moved like this style and its now in the 1st wave move, only break above 1.00 and stay will consider starting 2nd wave which is more explosive. Reason is simple because 2nd wave public awareness will be very powerful.