Monday, 27 March 2017

Hil : Bear run in bull market

I have finish my last batch collection, no more fund for me. I've "sail lang" to HIL. Now what I can do is patience to wait.

Friday, 17 March 2017

Super dividend stock

Stock news

*Corporate news:*

The *US Federal Reserve (Fed)* raised federal funds rate by 25bp to a range of 0.75%-1.00%, with officials sticking to their outlook for two more rate hikes this year and three more in 2018. (Bloomberg, Reuters)

*My EG Services Bhd* has joined forces with a Philippine company to develop electronic government services projects and provide electronic payment services in the Philippines. (Financial Daily)

Kuala Lumpur City Hall seeks to appoint *Ekovest Bhd*’s unit EkoRiver Construction Sdn Bhd as the design and build contractor for the proposed “Blue River Project” in the vicinity of the River of Life Precinct 7 – Masjid Jamek Kuala Lumpur zone. (StarBiz)

A high-level meeting between the officials from the Federal and Selangor governments has been set for tomorrow, which both could hope bring an end to the long-standing impasse in the water sector, according to industry sources. Some issues which have to be ironed out include Selangor's contribution for the takeover of *Syarikat Pengeluar Air Selangor Holdings Bhd (SPLASH)*, and secondly the quantum of a tariff hike for the state. (Financial Daily)

*TSR Capital Bhd* has landed a RM119.74m contract to build a stretch of road linked to Kuantan Port City, Pahang, as well as other related works. (StarBiz)

*Telekom Malaysia Bhd* is expected to officially launch mobile solution packages for small and medium enterprise (SMEs) through its digital mobility services provider, webe, on 11 Apr. (StarBiz)

Integrated engineering solutions provider *Destini Bhd* has delivered the first new generation patrol craft vessel to the Malaysian Maritime Enforcement Agency, said its group managing director Datuk Rozabil Abdul Rahman. (EdgeMarkets)

*Digistar Corp Bhd* has launched its comprehensive security system and services - Panther Mobile – and it has roped in Celcom Axiata Bhd as partner. In a statement, Digistar said Panther Mobile was the expansion from state-of-the-art Panther911 Central Monitoring Station (CMS) Command Centre. Digistar will invest approximately RM40m for this expansion and will setup approximately 30 service centre and concept stores nationwide in five years time. (StarBiz)

*Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd* has invested RM31.5m in a ultra-high temperature (UHT) processing line at its plant in Kuching as part of the over RM300m capex budgeted for two years to ensure the sustainability of the group’s business for the future. (StarBiz)

*Trive Property Group Bhd* has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with China-based Hubei Guang Bo New Energy Co Ltd (Hubei Guang) on a joint collaboration in the field of renewable energy. (Bernama)

*Scomi Group Bhd* is forming a joint venture company with a solar power firm Synergy Generated Sdn Bhd to bid for engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contracts in the renewable energy sector, particularly for solar photovoltaic farms. (Financial Daily)

*Malakoff Corp Bhd*’s wholly-owned subsidiary Tanjung Bin Energy Sdn Bhd has issued RM800m worth of Sukuk Wakalah. Malakoff said proceeds from the sukuk will be used for redemption of its outstanding junior term loan facility, totalling RM1.29bn. (Financial Daily)

The validity of the letter of award to the *Gamuda Bhd*-led consortium chosen as project delivery partner for the RM46bn Penang Transport Master Plan has been extended till 31 Aug. This is a second extension of the LOA by the Penang government after the previous one, announced on 29 July last year, expired on 28 Feb. (Financial Daily)

*UEM Edgenta Bhd* will issue Islamic Commercial Papers and Islamic Medium-Term Notes with a combined aggregate up to RM1bn in nominal value and a sub-limit of RM300m.  It said the proceeds raised from the sukuk programmes would be utilised for its shariah-compliant general corporate purposes. (Bernama)

Tuesday, 14 March 2017

Fantasy island- Someday I will

Denis Waitley: "most people spend their entire lives on a fantasy island called 'someday I will, ' "
Perhas the people who have the hardest time in life are the ones who refuse to face reality.
Life is difficult. Value stock investment is difficult. But here's the good news: many of things you desire to do in life are attainable-if you are willing to face reality, know your starting place, count the cost of your goal, and put in the work. Don't let your real situation discourage you. Everyone who got where they are, started where they were.
If you want to climb the highest moutain, you can't expect to do it overnight. You can't expect to do it unless you've been trained in how to climb and gotten into physical condition. And if you try to deny reality and make the climb anyway, you're going to end up in trouble.
Same as stock market investment.

Monday, 13 March 2017

Stock news

每股值RM4.50是如何算出来? 打开刚河算盘解秘 解读爆涨之後的走势
林刚河一句话,IWCITY值RM4.50,结果依海城(IWCITY 1589)涨停板,由前一天收市的RM1.76飞上RM2.28。
林刚河凭什麽说IWCITY值得RM4.50?他不是随便说说,他背後的工作团队,已帮老板算好好,让老板说出来的"数目",是有根有据。《股票消息》快速解读,到底这RM4.50怎样算出来。
林刚河的算盘是这样打的,完成注产後,依海城在柔佛拥有7367英亩土地,根据公开市场价格,这庞大土地值320亿零吉,相等於方尺价格RM93,除以依海城股票总数,即每股净值RM4.50。
依海城在吉隆坡新街场空军基地的"马来西亚城"(BANDAR MALAYSIA)拥有36%股权,估计值31亿零吉,尚未算进去。
依海城通过发股等资,它将没有任何银行贷款,是零负债公司,对喜欢股息的投资者来说,其缺点是没有派股息政策,不过有如此可观的溢价,有没有股息倒不是很重要了。
所以林刚河说的RM4.50是包含所有资产的"每股净值",他并没有说每股股价值RM4.50,投资者应该要见好就收,以免成为买在最高位价位的那一个人。
当然,林刚河有不同的解释,他认为,投资者买依海城的股票,等於是以每方尺RM93价格,进股依海城的土地发展,长期而言这是很有价值的投资。
林刚河注进依海城的土地,就是新山DANGA BAY一带的土地,沿着地不佬海峡,有去过新山的人,都应该看过林刚河的土地。
当群众忙着追遂依海城股票,最後影响股票价格的因素,还是公司盈利,这是投资大众要紧记的原则。
在星期五(三月十日) 对依海城进行投机的散户,当然是盘满砵满,对於"来不及上船"的投资者,我们的看法还是谨慎为上。
市场上没有"不能错过的股票",但却有一大堆可能买错的股票,"刚河效应"让很多散户赚大钱,我们真诚恭喜赚到钱的"快枪手",至於反应比较慢,不敢抢进的投资者,其实无需"可惜",市场上还有很多机会。
在股市投资不是和别人比赛,而是确保你的资金组合长期成长,依海城的爆涨,就如买万字中了JACK POT,机率非常少,但是还是有人会中。你不中JACK POT,还是可以通过做生意打工赚钱,你买对了股票,一样可以赚钱。

2公司和北京空气污染沾上边 中国新政策可能让它的股价上涨
中国一带一路政策对马来西亚经济有很大影响,除了一带一路之外,中国的去产能,北京环境政策,间接或直接对大马经济造成不同程度影响。
特别是最近中国为改善北京空气素质所采取的政策,也对马来西亚某一板块产业造成影响,这影响是正面的,该板块之下的业者因此受惠,公司可以赚多一点钱,〈热门板块〉特别探讨该"影响力"。
为控制北京日益恶化的空气素,中国政府指示各地方大幅减少矿业生产,其中包括铝矿生产,在这项新政策下,全世界铝矿将出现供求失平衡,这将推高铝价。大马的铝业厂商,在铝价高企之下,盈利会明显增高。
直接受惠的是齐力工业(PMETAL 8869),齐力工业二零一六年的盈利创下历史新高,巳反映这事实。
除了齐力工业,其它铝公司包括大马铝厂(ALCOM 2674),廖兄弟(LBALUM 9326),亿能(ARANK 7214)东合(TONGHER 5010)。
齐力工业股价已创新高,和一年前相比涨超过一倍,摸顶的机会很高,因此〈热门板块〉不再讨论这支大热股。东合的本益比也不遑多让,超过二十倍。
倒是由低调的甲洞企业家廖宗华控制的两家公司廖兄弟和亿能,是值得投资者关注的公司。这两家公司的本益比都在八倍以下,随着国际铝价走高,两家公司今年的盈利有望创新高,这是股价催化上涨的重要因素。
廖宗华在去年初买进亿能控制股权,他同时控制中游和下游生意的两家公司,资源整合占了优势。
若和齐力工业和大马铝厂的本益比相比,廖兄弟和亿能的估值相当吸引人。
另一个亮点是廖兄弟和亿能都是负债极低的公司,现金充沛另两家公司的进退可更加灵活。
〈热门板块〉研究团队认为,廖兄弟和亿能两家公司可搭上中国去产能的铝价大涨热潮,因此我们要布署进场计划。
我们对廖宗华两家公司布署的交易计划如下:
廖兄弟(LBALUM 9326)
高铝价布署价位:RM0.65-RM0.67
小目标: RM0.77 大目标; RM1.00
止损保本价位:RM0.48
亿能(ARANK 7214)
高铝价布署价位:RM1.10-RM1.13
小目标:RM1.30 大目标; RM1.60
止损保本价位:RM0.82



重挫9%!原油市场最黑暗的一周 大跌後会有什麽机会?
国际原油期货价格周五继续收跌,其中美国WTI原油4月期货周跌幅9.09%,创下5个月来最大周跌幅。对冲基金等大资金管理者本周大幅削减净看多头寸,导致“市场踩踏”,油价出现自二月下旬以来第二次直线下跌。
本周二以前,这些大资金管理者就削减了相当于1100万桶的看多头寸,净多头仓位减至3.57亿桶水平,连续两周下滑。美国商品期货交易委员会的数据还显示,在伦敦ICE期货欧洲交易所上市的WTI净购买量减少800万桶,使净长期头寸减至2500万桶。
周三美国基准价跌到了100日移动均线之下,这是一个关键的技术指标位。
周四的休斯敦能源会议上,沙特能源部长法利赫表示,切勿想当然的认为OPEC会为了抵消美国页岩油增产而延长减产协议期限。
此前为平衡市场,石油输出国组织和其他11个主要生产国实施了历史性的供应削减,使得今年原油期货价格维持在50至55美元之间。但是,美国页岩油生产商却加大了开采力度。在西德州和新墨西哥州东南部的二叠纪盆地等地区的钻探复苏,将美国原油库存推高至创纪录高位,产量每天突破900万桶。
最近美国能源信息署(EIA)的数据也表明,美国国内原油库存连续第9周攀升,并且美国国内原油总产量创一年多新高,使市场担心OPEC主导的减产协议可能不足以使原油市场恢复平衡。
花旗集团能源分析师 Tim Evans 表示:“美国原油库存的上升趋势,在过去的牛市中并不被认为与油价相关,如今却已经成为主导油价的最重要因素。”
期货分析师认为,如果OPEC产量政策变化,油价下方空间打开,或形成趋势性下跌行情,如果政策未变,二季度需求向好预期下,短期风险释放过后可关注深跌后买入机会。
团队的看法是,若国际石油价格再深跌,大马股市油气股也会出现一波调整下挫,这可能是另一次买进优质油气股的机会,投资者可一早认定目标,等待吸引人的"LELONG股价"出现,可布署另一次"趁低买进博反弹"的机会。


找"协同效应“搭上涨顺风车 二公司有机会趁势而上
三月份大马股市掀起"刚河效应","中国因素"是不可忽视的"力量",在这当儿,反映大马科技板块的科技指数也创下新高,未来的投资重点,将集中在建筑和科技两大板块。
很多人或许错失"刚河效应",不过股市是一直在变动的市场,机会无时无刻都存在,只要够努力,还是能够发现别人没有发现的机会,林大可本星期要讨论的是,"刚河效应"之下,那些股会出现"协同效应"呢?敬请留意。
依海城(IWCITY 1589)大涨,和它即将灌进上市公司的新山地皮有关,而相同在依斯干达特区拥有大幅土地的上市公司还有数家,包括马友乃德阳光(UEMS 5148)和顺利实业(KSL 5038)。
马友乃德阳光每股净值是RM1.51,股价是RM1.19;利实业是RM2.287,股价是RM1.32。明显股价对每股净值出现大幅度折扣,不过,每股净值并不是推高股价的"动力"。
反之,公司的盈利和市场对公司的期望,才能推动股价,依海城大热,主要还是市场对林刚河和马来西亚城的期望和憧憬。
马友乃德阳光和顺利实业的股价过去两年陷入低潮,主要是房产板块的衰退,造成其股价节节败退。
在"刚河效应"下,这两家公司会出现一波相同的涨潮吗?在"刚河效应"之下,另一家填海卖地的宏洋控股(BENALAC 5190)也会因此受到关注吗?
林大可在考虑多方面因素,决定在下周将部份资金,配置因积马友乃德阳光和宏洋控股,以下林大可的交易计划:
马友乃德阳光(UEMS 5148)
"效应"进场价位:RM1.15-RM1.20
小目标: RM1.38 大目标:RM1.60
止损保本价位:RM0.99
宏洋控股(BENALAC 5190)
"效应"进场价位:RM0.48-RM0.55
小目标: RM0.65 
止损保本价位:RM0.37
以下是林大可观察和监督的好股名单,目前没有异动,若有新发现,将即时通知赞助会员。
通源工业(TGUAN 7034 )
春讯集团(IQGROUP 5107 )
高产柅品(KOSSAN 7153 )
利兴工业(LIIHEN 7089 )
堡发资源(POHUAT 7088 )
美景集团(MKH 6114 )
和合建筑(HOHUP 5169)
成功集团( BJCORP 3395)
美景集团凭单WB(MKH WB 6114 WB)
巴拉卡石油(BARAKAH 7251)

Friday, 10 March 2017

Next theme play: Property stock

After long time of sleeping, the property business which is always key economy and market driver is now triggering. The property stocks going to be the theme player for this year as IWCITY as a role of leader sheep . My preference still A&M and HIL.

Friday, 3 March 2017

HIL: downtrend in the bull market

Quite sad with HIL performance, higher profit quarterly report, overall market charging with strong bull and many stocks made new high. As HIL is my major holding shares, the downtrend movement in the charging bull market really test my patience.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ AimTheBullReading~~~~~~~~~~~~~